Has Iran Already Won The War?
Trump's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is not a solution. It's a flawed option.
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Here’s the 13th article in our new section on international military affairs: NatSec Guy.
The United States’ counter-blockade of Iran in the Strait of Hormuz is not a strategy. It is a symptom of a presidency trapped in an escalation spiral with no clear exit.
At its core, the move is meant to squeeze Iran economically. But in reality, the true targets are far broader: China and Europe, both of which are deeply reliant on global energy flows disrupted by this policy.
The problem? This gambit reveals a president boxed into an impossible corner.
Before the counter-blockade, the administration faced two bad choices: abandon the war and risk handing Iran a symbolic victory — or escalate further with a direct invasion that could spiral into a catastrophic quagmire, even a nuclear confrontation. The blockade, then, is not a solution.
It is a third, equally flawed option.
Worse still, it is unlikely to achieve any of its stated goals. Iran only needs to survive to claim victory — and it can. China, meanwhile, is far less vulnerable than Washington assumes. The broader global system is already adjusting in ways that disadvantage the United States.
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